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Red116
402633.0
694423.8
411232.2
Blue89
590017.9
418820.4
886642.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7988406010012014011689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
94Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
116Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.02.3
24.226.6
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
blue by 9.3
42.30.0
44.244.1
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
Second
4112
#14
32.22.3
27.629.9
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
red by 11.8
4188
#25
20.40.0
18.118.1
Auto2.9
Teleop16.8
End0.6
Third
6944
#13
23.82.3
19.021.3
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End2.8
red by 5.9
5900
#17
17.90.0
14.814.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed