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Red45
47017.0
710419.9
174616.5
Blue112
363524.4
908616.9
164845.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4492020608010012014016045112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+69
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +55
4Coral scored#12
16Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
0Processor points12
4Net points20
4Algae points32
20Total teleop75
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
45Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7104
#19
19.90.3
17.417.1
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End1.8
blue by 25.8
45.72.1
38.440.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
Second
1746
#20
16.50.3
16.416.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End5.1
blue by 7.9
3635
#12
24.42.1
21.924.0
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Third
4701
#23
7.00.3
6.86.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 9.9
16.92.1
12.714.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned