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Red88
857717.5
682931.3
363524.4
Blue80
905712.4
886642.3
634043.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69109204060801001201401601808880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
70Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
88Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.4
28.630.0
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
blue by 12.4
43.71.1
42.141.0
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
Second
3635
#12
24.41.4
23.324.7
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
blue by 17.9
42.31.1
44.143.0
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
Third
17.51.4
14.816.3
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End2.3
red by 5.2
9057
#22
12.41.1
10.39.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed