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Red106
948030.0
590017.9
164845.7
Blue20
947724.2
52195.5
1037613.9
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10441015020010620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+64Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +54
14Coral scored#3
50Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
64Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#3
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
106Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.5
41.543.0
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
red by 21.5
9477
#10
24.21.5
22.821.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
Second
30.01.5
26.227.7
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
red by 16.1
13.91.5
12.511.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
5900
#17
17.91.5
16.217.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
red by 12.4
5219
#18
5.51.5
6.55.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed