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Red78
411232.2
857717.5
876110.8
Blue86
47017.0
905712.4
908616.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71320501001507886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
59Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points48
78Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#14
32.21.0
30.931.9
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
red by 15.3
16.90.4
15.215.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Second
17.51.0
16.317.3
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End2.3
red by 5.2
9057
#22
12.40.4
9.29.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Third
8761
#26
10.81.0
9.810.8
Auto0.9
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 3.8
4701
#23
7.00.4
7.47.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned