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Red117
634043.7
905712.4
164845.7
Blue107
948030.0
402633.0
810024.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10387050150200117107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
56Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +10
12Foul points0
117Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.2
43.343.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
red by 12.7
33.00.6
30.931.4
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
43.70.2
41.341.5
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
red by 13.7
30.00.6
27.828.4
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
Third
9057
#22
12.40.2
10.010.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 12.5
8100
#24
24.90.6
22.823.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8