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Red116
947724.2
682931.3
1037613.9
Blue93
418820.4
694423.8
363524.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768320406010012014011693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
21Coral scored#10
74Coral points37
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
98Total teleop71
Reef
10L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points12
116Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.8
29.930.7
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
red by 6.8
3635
#12
24.40.1
24.624.4
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Second
9477
#10
24.20.8
22.823.6
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 0.4
6944
#13
23.80.1
23.923.8
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End2.8
Third
13.90.8
12.513.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 6.5
4188
#25
20.40.1
20.520.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.8
End0.6