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Red105
243856.5
96459.6
927732.0
Blue114
425356.0
86158.1
388121.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9096607080100110120105114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+7
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
69Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
14Cage & park18
14Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
105Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.6
46.047.6
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
red by 0.5
56.01.9
48.150.0
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
Second
9277
#11
32.01.6
26.227.8
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
red by 10.1
3881
#21
21.92.1
18.020.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Third
9645
#22
9.62.4
9.311.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
red by 1.5
8615
#29
8.13.2
19.422.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned