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Red75
36833.9
1038420.9
670421.4
Blue53
234815.4
481716.8
887115.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78672040601001207553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+38Teleop
+40Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
60Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points18
75Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#17
33.90.6
32.031.3
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
red by 17.1
4817
#24
16.84.2
20.916.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Second
6704
#19
21.40.6
18.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.8
red by 6.0
2348
#28
15.44.2
16.812.6
Auto2.5
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
20.90.4
15.415.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
red by 5.6
8871
#33
15.22.8
21.718.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned