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Red155
772427.0
388244.5
763257.9
Blue99
35973.9
247725.1
246540.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120126608010014016018015599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+56Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points12
29Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
22Coral scored#12
80Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
6Processor points12
24Net points16
30Algae points28
110Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#4
9L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
155Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.93.1
48.151.2
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
blue by 16.0
359
#3
73.90.8
64.763.9
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
Second
44.53.1
40.343.4
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
red by 4.1
2465
#12
40.41.3
25.624.3
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
Third
7724
#16
27.05.1
20.425.6
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
red by 2.0
2477
#31
25.11.3
20.619.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned