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Red61
631732.2
901221.4
244114.4
Blue16
962917.0
285323.4
209011.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7744020601001201401606116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+39Teleop
+43Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
7Coral scored#2
24Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
0Processor points0
16Net points0
16Algae points0
40Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
2Foul points0
61Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.4
26.626.2
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
red by 8.8
2853
#13
23.42.0
16.914.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Second
9012
#26
21.40.4
19.619.2
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End0.9
red by 4.4
9629
#25
17.03.0
12.99.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Third
2441
#32
14.40.4
16.315.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
red by 3.1
2090
#23
11.33.0
13.410.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed