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Red103
90199.8
372121.3
427079.2
Blue93
350149.2
244527.6
388025.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1176405010015020010393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
68Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
103Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.20.2
62.061.7
Auto16.2
Teleop54.2
End8.8
red by 29.9
3501
#10
49.21.7
23.625.4
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
Second
3721
#18
21.30.3
22.522.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
blue by 6.4
2445
#14
27.62.6
19.321.9
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Third
9019
#20
9.80.3
13.413.1
Auto1.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 15.3
3880
#15
25.01.6
17.919.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed