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Red70
244527.6
247725.1
209011.3
Blue79
1038420.9
289614.3
246540.4
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63684050607080907079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+23Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
51Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points16
70Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2445
#14
27.61.4
21.923.3
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
blue by 12.7
2465
#12
40.40.3
24.324.6
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
Second
2477
#31
25.11.4
19.320.6
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9
red by 4.2
20.90.2
15.015.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Third
2090
#23
11.31.4
10.411.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
blue by 3.0
2896
#27
14.30.3
16.016.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned