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Red105
86158.1
427079.2
481716.8
Blue79
901221.4
772427.0
372121.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217105010015020010579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points13
24Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +15
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
77Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#6
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
105Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.20.2
61.761.6
Auto16.2
Teleop54.2
End8.8
red by 52.2
7724
#16
27.00.3
25.625.9
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Second
4817
#24
16.80.2
16.716.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 4.7
9012
#26
21.40.3
19.219.5
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End0.9
Third
8615
#29
8.10.2
22.622.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
blue by 13.2
3721
#18
21.30.3
22.122.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed