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Red48
887115.2
388121.9
927732.0
Blue104
234815.4
350149.2
631732.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736902040608010012014048104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+66
Endgame+72
Fouls+56
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +69
1Coral scored#16
4Coral points59
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
8Total teleop77
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#4
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
18Foul points2
48Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9277
#11
32.02.5
27.825.3
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
blue by 17.2
3501
#10
49.22.5
25.427.9
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
Second
3881
#21
21.92.5
20.117.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5
blue by 10.3
32.24.2
26.230.4
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
Third
8871
#33
15.22.5
18.916.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 0.1
2348
#28
15.44.2
12.616.8
Auto2.5
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned