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Red118
670421.4
96459.6
35973.9
Blue37
244114.4
372121.3
86158.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1146205010015020011837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+75Teleop
+87Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +58
12Coral scored#4
43Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
12Processor points0
24Net points8
36Algae points8
79Total teleop21
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points6
118Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
73.90.8
65.566.2
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
red by 52.7
3721
#18
21.34.3
22.518.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Second
6704
#19
21.41.3
18.219.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.8
red by 6.9
2441
#32
14.44.3
15.911.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Third
9645
#22
9.61.3
11.713.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
red by 1.5
8615
#29
8.14.3
22.418.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned