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Red164
244340.8
244527.6
763257.9
Blue101
962917.0
425356.0
90199.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13175050100150200164101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+51Teleop
+39Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +41
23Coral scored#13
81Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
101Total teleop60
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#7
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
24Foul points0
164Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.9
53.254.1
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
red by 1.9
56.01.2
49.350.4
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
Second
40.80.9
38.139.1
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
red by 23.8
9629
#25
17.02.0
13.315.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Third
2445
#14
27.61.6
23.324.9
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
red by 17.9
9019
#20
9.82.0
9.511.5
Auto1.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned