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Red48
927732.0
209011.3
772427.0
Blue91
388244.5
36833.9
481716.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68107501504891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+49
Endgame+57
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +52
3Coral scored#12
12Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
16Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
14Foul points0
48Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9277
#11
32.01.9
25.323.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
blue by 12.5
44.50.3
42.743.0
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Second
7724
#16
27.03.2
25.922.7
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
blue by 6.9
368
#17
33.90.5
27.728.2
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
Third
2090
#23
11.33.2
11.88.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
blue by 5.5
4817
#24
16.80.5
16.517.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned