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Red101
243856.5
631732.2
388025.0
Blue46
247725.1
244114.4
670421.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12052010015020010146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +45
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
78Total teleop33
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
101Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.50.2
46.847.0
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
red by 31.4
2477
#31
25.10.6
20.620.0
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Second
32.20.3
30.430.7
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
red by 10.9
6704
#19
21.40.6
19.518.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
3880
#15
25.00.2
21.121.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 10.6
2441
#32
14.40.6
11.610.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed