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Red75
901221.4
1038420.9
481716.8
Blue88
631732.2
90199.8
244527.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70822040601001201401607588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#0
8Coral points0
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
54Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
75Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9012
#26
21.40.1
26.526.6
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End0.9
blue by 10.8
32.20.9
30.731.6
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
Second
20.90.1
15.315.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 6.8
2445
#14
27.60.9
24.925.7
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Third
4817
#24
16.80.1
17.017.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
red by 7.0
9019
#20
9.80.9
11.512.3
Auto1.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed