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Red118
372121.3
425356.0
763257.9
Blue84
86158.1
670421.4
243856.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143925020011884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
67Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
118Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.7
54.153.5
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
red by 1.4
56.50.4
47.046.6
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
Second
56.00.7
50.449.8
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
red by 34.6
6704
#19
21.40.7
18.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
3721
#18
21.31.1
18.217.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
red by 13.2
8615
#29
8.10.7
18.117.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed