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Red106
244114.4
35973.9
289614.3
Blue58
772427.0
887115.2
36833.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1097205010015020010658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+38Teleop
+52Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
65Total teleop41
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
2Foul points6
106Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
73.90.5
66.266.8
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
red by 40.0
368
#17
33.92.0
28.226.2
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
Second
2441
#32
14.40.9
10.911.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
blue by 12.6
7724
#16
27.02.0
22.720.7
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Third
2896
#27
14.30.9
16.317.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
blue by 1.0
8871
#33
15.21.2
16.415.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed