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Red129
962917.0
388025.0
427079.2
Blue69
247725.1
285323.4
234815.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12352010015020012969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
16Coral scored#9
56Coral points32
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
76Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#3
9L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
129Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.21.6
65.467.0
Auto16.2
Teleop54.2
End8.8
red by 54.1
2477
#31
25.11.4
20.021.4
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Second
3880
#15
25.01.6
21.322.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 1.6
2853
#13
23.40.8
16.617.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Third
9629
#25
17.02.7
15.217.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
red by 1.6
2348
#28
15.41.4
17.118.5
Auto2.5
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned