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Red59
388121.9
244340.8
90199.8
Blue99
209011.3
243856.5
372121.3
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82836070901005999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +35
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points40
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
35Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
59Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.7
39.138.4
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
blue by 15.7
56.51.8
46.648.4
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
Second
3881
#21
21.90.7
17.917.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5
red by 0.6
3721
#18
21.33.0
17.120.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Third
9019
#20
9.81.1
12.311.2
Auto1.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 1.6
2090
#23
11.33.0
8.511.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed