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Red122
631732.2
35973.9
887115.2
Blue77
481716.8
246540.4
300831.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132675010015020012277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+49Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#5
45Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
73Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
122Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
73.90.2
66.866.9
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
red by 33.6
2465
#12
40.40.7
29.730.5
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
Second
32.20.3
31.631.9
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
red by 0.8
31.40.4
23.524.0
Auto4.7
Teleop22.2
End4.5
Third
8871
#33
15.20.2
15.215.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 1.5
4817
#24
16.80.7
17.117.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned