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Red111
772427.0
962917.0
350149.2
Blue81
927732.0
763257.9
901221.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7212205010015020011181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+36Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +36
17Coral scored#9
60Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
84Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points6
111Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#10
49.22.6
33.235.8
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
blue by 8.7
57.92.0
53.551.5
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
Second
7724
#16
27.04.4
20.725.0
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
blue by 5.0
9277
#11
32.02.0
24.522.6
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
Third
9629
#25
17.04.4
17.922.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
blue by 4.4
9012
#26
21.43.3
26.623.3
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned