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Red50
388025.0
86158.1
1038420.9
Blue98
247725.1
388121.9
36833.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67772040601001205098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
36Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#4
1L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
2Foul points20
50Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#15
25.01.7
22.921.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
blue by 8.9
368
#17
33.90.3
26.225.8
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
Second
20.91.7
15.413.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 4.2
2477
#31
25.10.3
21.421.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Third
8615
#29
8.12.8
17.414.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
blue by 13.8
3881
#21
21.90.2
17.217.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed