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Red120
300831.4
772427.0
35973.9
Blue79
209011.3
901221.4
244340.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1357005010015020012079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
72Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
120Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
73.90.1
66.966.8
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
red by 33.1
40.80.5
38.939.4
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
Second
31.40.1
24.023.8
Auto4.7
Teleop22.2
End4.5
red by 10.0
9012
#26
21.40.8
23.324.1
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End0.9
Third
7724
#16
27.00.2
25.024.8
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
red by 15.7
2090
#23
11.30.8
10.010.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed