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Red71
234815.4
388244.5
244114.4
Blue170
763257.9
350149.2
427079.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6717505010015020025071170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+113
Endgame+101
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points31
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +88
10Coral scored#26
35Coral points93
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
0Processor points18
8Net points20
8Algae points38
43Total teleop131
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#11
2L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#40
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
2Foul points0
71Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.4
42.842.4
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
blue by 34.7
79.21.0
67.668.6
Auto16.2
Teleop54.2
End8.8
Second
2348
#28
15.40.6
18.918.3
Auto2.5
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 42.5
57.91.0
51.552.5
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
Third
2441
#32
14.40.6
12.712.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
blue by 34.8
3501
#10
49.21.0
35.836.8
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed