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Red95
36833.9
927732.0
289614.3
Blue98
670421.4
244527.6
372121.3
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75766570808590959598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
71Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
95Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#17
33.92.2
25.828.0
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
red by 6.3
2445
#14
27.62.6
26.829.4
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Second
9277
#11
32.01.3
22.623.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
red by 10.6
6704
#19
21.42.6
16.719.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
2896
#27
14.32.2
15.617.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
blue by 7.0
3721
#18
21.32.6
20.022.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed