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Red129
425356.0
285323.4
1038420.9
Blue89
246540.4
388121.9
631732.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918860708010011012012989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+28Teleop
+22Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
67Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
14Cage & park20
14Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
18Foul points0
129Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.01.2
50.051.2
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
red by 15.6
2465
#12
40.40.1
30.530.5
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
Second
2853
#13
23.41.2
18.119.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End6.1
blue by 8.8
32.20.1
31.931.9
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
Third
20.91.2
13.714.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 1.0
3881
#21
21.90.0
17.017.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned