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Red68
86158.1
90199.8
388244.5
Blue50
887115.2
244114.4
285323.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744302060801001206850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
45Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
68Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.3
42.442.7
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
red by 21.1
2853
#13
23.40.4
19.319.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Second
9019
#20
9.80.4
10.711.2
Auto1.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 5.5
8871
#33
15.20.4
13.013.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
8615
#29
8.10.4
10.611.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
blue by 6.3
2441
#32
14.40.6
12.112.7
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned