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Red129
1038420.9
350149.2
247725.1
Blue143
300831.4
244340.8
425356.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7613350100150200129143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+12
Endgame+20
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points52
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
24Processor points12
20Net points32
44Algae points44
94Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#8
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points0
129Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#10
49.22.8
36.839.6
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
blue by 6.7
56.01.2
51.252.4
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
Second
2477
#31
25.14.3
20.324.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9
blue by 15.7
40.81.2
39.440.5
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
Third
20.92.8
14.917.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 10.6
31.41.2
23.825.0
Auto4.7
Teleop22.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned