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Red51
244527.6
36833.9
96459.6
Blue107
209011.3
763257.9
388121.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888860708010011051107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+40
Endgame+44
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
31Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points12
51Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#17
33.92.2
31.128.9
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
blue by 24.0
57.91.2
50.852.0
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
Second
2445
#14
27.62.2
30.428.3
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
red by 5.7
3881
#21
21.91.2
17.719.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Third
9645
#22
9.62.2
12.19.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 1.7
2090
#23
11.31.8
7.89.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned