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Red124
372121.3
388244.5
631732.2
Blue117
86158.1
962917.0
35973.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091098090100120130140124117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+5
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
79Total teleop83
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
124Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.9
42.743.6
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
blue by 29.4
359
#3
73.90.4
66.566.9
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
Second
32.21.3
34.535.8
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
red by 15.2
9629
#25
17.00.6
21.622.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Third
3721
#18
21.31.3
21.923.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
red by 13.2
8615
#29
8.10.6
11.011.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned