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Red120
670421.4
244340.8
285323.4
Blue99
1038420.9
927732.0
887115.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9663020408012014016012099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +8
16Coral scored#12
56Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
84Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#20
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points2
120Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.81.0
40.541.5
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
red by 8.8
9277
#11
32.01.3
25.526.8
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
Second
2853
#13
23.41.0
19.720.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End6.1
red by 2.5
20.91.3
17.719.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Third
6704
#19
21.41.4
21.823.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.8
red by 6.1
8871
#33
15.21.3
13.414.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed