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Red108
425356.0
289614.3
244527.6
Blue55
388025.0
244114.4
388121.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12048010015020010855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
66Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
12Cage & park10
12Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
108Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.2
52.452.2
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
red by 30.9
3880
#15
25.00.5
19.018.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Second
2445
#14
27.60.2
28.328.1
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
red by 5.7
3881
#21
21.90.5
19.018.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Third
2896
#27
14.30.2
18.418.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
blue by 0.2
2441
#32
14.40.7
12.712.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed