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Red184
350149.2
243856.5
246540.4
Blue206
427079.2
35973.9
36833.9
4%Model gave it96%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126190100150200250184206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +4
26Coral scored#24
93Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
129Total teleop125
Reef
15L4#13
8L3#6
7L2#8
6L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
184Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.53.2
49.852.9
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
blue by 22.7
79.21.1
73.674.7
Auto16.2
Teleop54.2
End8.8
Second
3501
#10
49.23.2
41.945.0
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
blue by 24.7
359
#3
73.91.1
66.968.0
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
Third
2465
#12
40.44.2
33.037.3
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
red by 6.5
368
#17
33.91.5
28.930.3
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned