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Red90
481716.8
631732.2
244340.8
Blue23
901221.4
86158.1
234815.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135601001509023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +49
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points11
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
18Processor points0
12Net points4
30Algae points4
64Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
6Foul points0
90Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.8
41.540.7
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
red by 19.4
9012
#26
21.43.1
26.022.9
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End0.9
Second
32.21.1
35.834.7
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
red by 16.9
2348
#28
15.43.1
17.414.3
Auto2.5
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
4817
#24
16.81.1
16.515.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
red by 8.6
8615
#29
8.13.1
11.78.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed