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Red38
372121.3
887115.2
962917.0
Blue62
388244.5
1038420.9
209011.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72864060801001201403862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
23Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points0
38Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#18
21.32.6
23.220.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
blue by 23.2
44.51.1
43.642.6
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Second
9629
#25
17.02.6
22.219.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
blue by 3.9
20.91.1
19.017.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Third
8871
#33
15.22.0
14.712.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
red by 3.9
2090
#23
11.31.4
9.68.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed