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Red102
244114.4
763257.9
90199.8
Blue144
927732.0
247725.1
425356.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7812350100150200102144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+20
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points25
6Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +8
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
92Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
102Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.91.1
52.053.2
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
red by 1.9
56.01.8
52.254.0
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
Second
2441
#32
14.41.5
12.013.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
blue by 17.6
9277
#11
32.01.8
26.828.6
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
Third
9019
#20
9.81.5
10.011.5
Auto1.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 15.3
2477
#31
25.12.4
27.329.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned