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Red83
388025.0
772427.0
670421.4
Blue84
96459.6
300831.4
285323.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8363020401001201401608384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
66Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points0
83Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7724
#16
27.00.6
29.329.9
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
blue by 4.4
31.41.6
26.828.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.2
End4.5
Second
3880
#15
25.00.5
18.519.0
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 1.6
2853
#13
23.41.6
20.622.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Third
6704
#19
21.40.6
23.223.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.8
red by 11.8
9645
#22
9.62.1
9.912.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned