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Red123
388121.9
481716.8
35973.9
Blue161
244340.8
962917.0
388244.5
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131138090100120130140150160123161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+2
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points16
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
14Coral scored#17
49Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
67Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#5
2L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
18Foul points54
123Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
73.90.2
68.068.2
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
red by 29.4
44.50.3
42.642.8
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Second
3881
#21
21.90.2
18.518.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5
blue by 18.9
40.80.3
40.740.9
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
Third
4817
#24
16.80.2
15.415.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 0.2
9629
#25
17.00.3
19.620.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed