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Red101
300831.4
244527.6
901221.4
Blue107
246540.4
763257.9
86158.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911550100150200101107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
56Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
18Foul points0
101Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.2
28.428.7
Auto4.7
Teleop22.2
End4.5
blue by 26.5
57.90.5
53.253.7
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
Second
2445
#14
27.60.3
28.128.4
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
blue by 12.7
2465
#12
40.40.7
37.337.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
Third
9012
#26
21.40.3
22.923.1
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End0.9
red by 13.3
8615
#29
8.10.7
8.69.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned