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Red122
285323.4
388025.0
927732.0
Blue102
1038420.9
243856.5
244114.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821054060120140160180122102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+2Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
85Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
122Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9277
#11
32.02.9
28.631.5
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
blue by 24.5
56.50.8
52.953.7
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
Second
3880
#15
25.02.9
19.021.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 4.2
20.90.8
17.918.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Third
2853
#13
23.42.9
22.225.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End6.1
red by 9.0
2441
#32
14.40.9
13.514.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed