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Red137
425356.0
1038420.9
350149.2
Blue74
927732.0
372121.3
36833.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471015020013774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+51Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points12
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points46
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
18Processor points0
8Net points12
26Algae points12
81Total teleop58
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +63
8Foul points2
137Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.2
54.154.3
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
red by 22.1
368
#17
33.90.3
33.933.6
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
Second
3501
#10
49.20.2
47.347.5
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
red by 17.2
9277
#11
32.00.3
32.031.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
Third
20.90.2
19.019.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 0.4
3721
#18
21.30.3
21.321.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6