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Red102
927732.0
372121.3
36833.9
Blue121
300831.4
388121.9
246540.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10198708090110120130140102121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+9Teleop
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
20Coral scored#15
73Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
87Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +28
2Cage & park30
2Total endgame30
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
102Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#17
33.90.3
33.633.9
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
blue by 6.5
2465
#12
40.40.7
38.138.8
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
Second
9277
#11
32.00.3
31.732.0
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
red by 0.6
31.40.7
29.229.9
Auto4.7
Teleop22.2
End4.5
Third
3721
#18
21.30.3
21.021.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.5
End1.6
blue by 0.6
3881
#21
21.90.7
19.620.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End5.5