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Red189
35973.9
481716.8
427079.2
Blue65
244340.8
631732.2
670421.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188975015020025018965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+110Teleop
+124Endgame
+124Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +92
34Coral scored#10
121Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
143Total teleop51
Reef
14L4#5
13L3#4
6L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
44Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +124
0Foul points0
189Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.20.3
77.477.8
Auto16.2
Teleop54.2
End8.8
red by 38.4
40.80.9
41.740.9
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
Second
359
#3
73.90.3
72.272.5
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
red by 41.7
32.20.9
33.132.2
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
Third
4817
#24
16.80.3
15.015.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 4.6
6704
#19
21.40.9
22.321.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.8