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Red117
425356.0
350149.2
1038420.9
Blue135
243856.5
247725.1
388244.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361420100200300400500600117135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +16
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#7
6Processor points6
8Net points28
14Algae points34
73Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#6
8L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
117Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.1
54.354.2
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
blue by 0.5
56.50.0
57.057.1
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
Second
3501
#10
49.20.1
47.547.4
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
red by 4.7
44.50.0
45.045.1
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Third
20.90.1
19.119.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 4.2
2477
#31
25.10.0
25.625.6
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9