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Red218
276783.0
287773.3
176880.3
Blue238
333976.6
220081.1
115366.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258245150200300350218238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
9Coral scored#12
45Coral points58
51Total auto64
TeleoperatedBlue +7
27Coral scored#24
97Coral points86
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
18Processor points24
16Net points28
34Algae points52
131Total teleop138
Reef
16L4#12
9L3#11
7L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
218Total score238

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#33
83.00.5
83.883.3
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
red by 1.9
81.10.2
83.083.2
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
Second
80.30.5
81.180.6
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 3.6
76.60.2
78.678.8
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
Third
2877
#32
73.30.5
74.173.6
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
red by 6.8
1153
#57
66.50.2
68.468.6
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1